America is in the lead. Study: Global buying after corona's impact on economies declines
Because transport capacity cannot
be increased in a short period of time, experts expect further bottlenecks
until 2022.
The economic boom following the
Corona recession has led companies to buy around the world, primarily companies
in the United States.
While European and German companies
in particular are at the bottom of the buying list, the United States is
leading the frantic race for the required supplies, according to the results of
a world trade study by credit insurer Euler Hermes.
The study attributes
disproportionateness to the asynchronous recovery from the consequences of the
closures, as the U.S. economy recovered again much earlier and more strongly
than in Europe.
According to the study, shipments
of goods from China to the United States have now increased by about 30%, while
to Europe they have increased by only about 10%.
America is in the lead.
"Buying is at its strongest in
world trade right now... "The United States is clearly ahead in the
merchandise purchase race, partly because of early reopening." Van Hite
Hoff explained that companies everywhere are trying in a hurry to fill their
inventory, saying, "However, success in achieving these endeavours is not
certain at the moment; given the continuing bottlenecks in supply chains,
particularly in the cargo ships themselves, and the longest delivery delays in
a decade, prices and therefore global trade costs are rising very rapidly to new
record levels."
As a result, most European States,
particularly Germany, found it difficult to fill their already low stocks.
According to a study conducted by
the German insurance company Allianz, world trade has recovered rapidly and
strongly this year.
Price increase
For the full year, Euler Hermes
economists expect a 7.7% increase in the volume of goods and services traded
worldwide, after an 8% contraction the previous year. Due to significant price
increases, volume is expected to increase by about 15.9%, following a
contraction of 9.9% in 2020.
"The decline in supply and
demand was the reason for the decline in world trade in 2020, and "the
factors influencing this year's increase in the value of traded goods and
services, the return to normal conditions cause prices to increase by only
about 15%, while seeking to increase inventories in return causes prices to
increase by 50%," the study said.
The study also indicated that
limited and high-priced cargo ship capacities cause prices to increase by about
35%.
Shipping companies are also causing
a sharp rise in global cargo prices, with about 90% of shipping carried out by
sea.
"Ship capacity is likely to
remain limited in the short term... This, in addition to the uneven regional
recovery, has caused inadequate investments in shipping in recent years."
Because transport capacity cannot
be increased in a short period of time, Hit Hoff, like the shipping companies
themselves, expects further bottlenecks until 2022.