Trump Threatens 100% Tariff on Canada Over China Trade

Alex Morgan

Jan 24, 2026 • 3 min read

US President Donald Trump addressing a crowd in Washington, DC, with the US flag in the background.

Trump Threatens Canada with 100% Tariff Over China Trade Deal

US President Donald Trump has escalated tensions with Canada by threatening to impose a 100% tariff on all Canadian goods if the country’s Prime Minister, Mark Carney, finalizes a trade deal with China. The move comes amid growing friction between the two nations over economic policies and diplomatic relations.

Background of the Dispute

The conflict began when Prime Minister Carney gave a speech at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, where he pushed back against the world’s great powers and signaled a potential shift in Canada’s trade strategy. Carney recently met with Chinese President Xi Jinping and announced that their countries had reached a trade deal, which included electric vehicles. Initially, Trump had welcomed the possibility of a deal, but his tone shifted sharply in recent days.

Trump’s Tariff Threat

On Saturday, Trump wrote on his social media platform, Truth Social, "If Canada makes a deal with China, it will immediately be hit with a 100% Tariff against all Canadian goods and products coming into the U.S.A." He also referred to Carney as "Governor Carney" and warned that if Canada becomes a "Drop Off Port" for Chinese goods, it would be a "sorely mistaken" move.

Lack of Clarity on the Deal

It remains unclear whether the trade deal between Canada and China has been finalized or if Trump was specifically referring to it. The BBC has reached out to the White House, Carney’s office, and Canada’s minister responsible for US-Canada trade for comment, but no official response has been received as of yet.

Rising Tensions Between Trump and Carney

Tensions between Trump and Carney have been steadily increasing in recent weeks. Carney’s speech in Davos, where he warned of a "rupture" in the US-led world order, seemed to anger Trump, who followed up with his own address emphasizing Canada’s dependence on the United States. Trump also withdrew Canada’s invitation to join his newly constituted Board of Peace, a move that has further strained relations.

Canada’s Stance on the Trade Deal

Prime Minister Carney has defended the potential trade deal with China, stating that "the world has changed" and that progress with China sets Canada up "well for the new world order." He added that Canada’s relationship with China has become "more predictable" than its relationship with the US under the Trump administration. Experts suggest that Canada’s policy on China has undergone a significant shift, influenced by ongoing uncertainty with the US, its largest trade partner.

Previous Tariff Actions

Last year, Trump imposed new tariffs on Canadian goods, including a 35% tax on all items not covered under the existing free trade agreement between the two countries. These actions have created a complex trade environment, with both nations navigating delicate diplomatic and economic balances.

Carney’s Response

Responding to Trump’s comments, Carney pushed back on Thursday, saying that while Canada and the US have built a "remarkable partnership" over many decades, "Canada doesn’t live because of the United States. Canada thrives because we are Canadians." This statement underscores a growing sense of independence in Canada’s foreign policy.

Broader Implications for Global Trade

The escalating dispute between the US and Canada over the China trade deal has broader implications for global trade dynamics. As countries seek to diversify their trade partnerships, the US’s aggressive stance on tariffs and trade deals could influence other nations’ decisions. The situation also highlights the shifting balance of power in international trade, with China emerging as a key player in global economics.

Future of US-Canada Relations

The future of US-Canada relations remains uncertain, with both countries at a crossroads in their trade and diplomatic strategies. While Canada seeks to expand its economic ties with China, the US under Trump continues to assert its dominance in trade negotiations. The coming months will likely see further developments as both nations navigate these complex waters.

Conclusion

As the situation unfolds, the world watches closely to see how the US and Canada will resolve their trade dispute. The threat of a 100% tariff on Canadian goods underscores the high stakes involved and the potential for significant economic repercussions. For now, both sides remain at odds, with the fate of the China trade deal and the broader implications for global trade hanging in the balance.

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