Nikola Bartunkova Eyes Upset at Australian Open

Everythiiing

Jan 22, 2026 • 3 min read

A professional tennis player serving on a hard court during a match.

In the high-stakes world of professional tennis, even the most unexpected players can steal the spotlight. This week at the prestigious Australian Open, one name capturing attention is Nikola Bartunkova. Taking on the formidable Belinda Bencic in the Round of 64, Bartunkova, ranked 126th in the world, is the clear underdog but brings a compelling narrative to the hard courts of Melbourne.

The Bartunkova vs. Bencic Showdown

The matchup pits Bartunkova against Bencic, currently ranked 10th globally. As the tournament unfolds from January 12th to 31st, sports fans and betting enthusiasts are closely watching this encounter. Bencic enters the match as a heavy favorite, with odds set at -1205 to advance to the Round of 32, while Bartunkova is listed at a substantial +650, reflecting the significant challenge she faces against the higher-ranked Swiss player.

For viewers eager to catch the action, ESPN+000 will broadcast the Australian Open, providing comprehensive coverage of Bartunkova's potential journey. Platforms like Fubo also offer live streaming options, ensuring fans don't miss a single point as Bartunkova squares off against Bencic on the hard court surface.

Breaking Down Bartunkova's Potential

While Bartunkova's world ranking places her significantly below Bencic, her recent form on hard courts suggests she's more than capable of causing an upset. Over the past 12 months, Bartunkova boasts a 7-3 record on hard courts, demonstrating her ability to compete on the surface favored for the Australian Open.

Service and Return Games

One key aspect of Bartunkova's game lies in her service and return statistics. She has won 61.9% of her service games on hard courts over the last year and a commendable 47.2% of her return games. This balance indicates a player who can dictate points from the baseline and trouble opponents with her own serving.

Break Point Conversion

Bartunkova's break point conversion rate is another area of strength. She has converted 49.3% of her break points on hard courts (35 out of 71), ranking her 159th in this category. This ability to capitalize on opportunities when serving to stay in the match or gain an advantage is crucial, especially against a top-10 player like Bencic.

Recent Tournament Performance

Although Bartunkova's most recent tournament, the Chennai Open, ended with a defeat against Kimberly Birrell in the Round of 32, the experience likely provided valuable insights into her current form and areas for improvement. Facing a player like Birrell, who also possesses a strong baseline game, would have tested Bartunkova's resolve and tactical acumen.

Belinda Bencic: The Experienced Challenger

On the other side of the net stands Belinda Bencic, a player with a proven track record on the international stage. Over the past 12 months, Bencic has accumulated a 25-10 record on hard courts, winning two tournaments on the surface. Her experience and consistency make her a formidable opponent for any player, including Bartunkova.

Service Strength

Bencic's game is built on a solid foundation of powerful serves. She boasts a 72.9% winning percentage on hard courts in service games (277 out of 380). This ability to consistently win service games puts pressure on her opponents and sets the tone for rallies.

Return Game Analysis

While Bencic's return game isn't as dominant as her service, it still poses a significant threat. She has won 38.0% of her return games on hard courts (142 out of 374). This ability to disrupt her opponent's serving rhythm and gain control of points is a key aspect of her overall game.

Break Point Efficiency

Bencic's break point statistics are also noteworthy. She has won 46.7% of her break points on hard courts (141 out of 302), ranking her 19th in this category. This efficiency indicates a player who is adept at capitalizing on opportunities to break serve and gain a crucial advantage in sets and matches.

Implied Probability and Betting Odds

Based on the current moneyline odds, Bartunkova has an implied probability of winning the match at 92.3%. This figure reflects the significant gap in ranking and recent form between the two players. However, upsets are not uncommon in tennis, and Bartunkova's recent hard court performance provides a glimmer of hope for those backing the underdog.

For those interested in betting on the tournament, Bartunkova's odds to win the entire Australian Open stand at +20000, while Bencic's odds are a more modest +500. These odds highlight the vast difference in expectations for each player's potential tournament journey.

Conclusion: A Match to Watch

The clash between Nikola Bartunkova and Belinda Bencic promises to be an exciting encounter at the Australian Open. While Bartunkova faces a significant uphill battle against a higher-ranked opponent, her recent form and specific strengths on hard courts make her a player to watch. Tennis enthusiasts and betting fans alike will be eager to see if the underdog can defy the odds and pull off a memorable upset on the world stage.

Share this intelligence

Popular This Week